Recently rejected submissions. The reason for rejection is given in red.


steve ballmer technology "There's no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant market share. No chance. ... 2% or 3% [market share] is what Apple might get."
[link] - AaronSw on 2007-04-30
duplicate 		2008-04-30
ritchie bruce technology [url=http://mb2212js7fhyz4fl.com/]phklqhz21cji7sqi[/url] [link=http://0q6fjssv3aj17ps8.com/]9qwheiwy5x366se3[/link] pjzpplgti8ddnk1j http://k23o4bjnpw2q12es.com/
[link] - Ramiro Leon on 2008-03-27
gibberish 		2011-12-30
jason fried technology Jason predicts Microsoft will buy Palm within the next 18 months
[link] - tobinibot on 2009-07-31
duplicate 		2011-01-31
jason fried (37 signals) technology I predict Microsoft buys Palm within the next 18 months.
[link] - pospischil on 2009-07-31
2011-01-31
mark reinoso finance Our financial world is going to collapse and when it starts, it will happen quickly. If you think that “Someone has got to do something!”, then I would say that they already have.......... and that’s why we are in this predicament. If you think I am fearmongering, come talk to me in 6 months. We have crossed the Rubicon, there is no turning back.
[link] - JoeC on 2009-06-03
not notable 		2009-12-04
john gruber technology Apple WILL announce new iPhone hardware at WWDC.
[link] - heschong on 2009-05-13
duplicate 		2009-05-13
gene munster technology Apple will not announce new iPhone hardware at its 2009 WWDC conference (but later in the month)
[link] - Watcher on 2009-05-13
duplicate 		2009-06-08
john gruber technology "A new iPhone [will] be announced at WWDC — probably the easiest and most obvious Apple prediction of the year."
[link] - Alex on 2009-05-13
duplicate 		2009-06-09
john gruber technology Apple will announce new iPhone hardware at its 2009 WWDC conference
[link] - Watcher on 2009-05-13
duplicate 		2009-06-08
gene munste technology While some investors may be expecting Apple to launch redesigned iPhones at WWDC, we do not anticipate the launch in early June.
[link] - voidref on 2009-05-13
duplicate (and misspelled munster's name!) 		2009-06-09
boris worm Other "Species have been disappearing from ocean ecosystems and this trend has recently been accelerating. If the long-term trend continues, all fish and seafood species are projected to collapse within my lifetime -- by 2048."
[link] - croc on 2006-11-02
this sounds more like an extrapolation than a prediction. Also too long-term for scope of this site 		2009-05-06
james h. kunstler finance The airline industry, of course, will be toast inside of five years.
[link] - ipofanes on 2009-05-05
duplicate 		2014-05-05
john gruber technology "Before the end of 2010" the iPhone expands into a range consisting of: 1. "A high-end iPhone with the same basic size and price as previous iPhones, but with significant new features." and 2. "A new, lower-priced, smaller, and more adorable iPhone, with more or less the same technical specs as the original iPhone."
[link] - Rob J Wells on 2009-05-01
duplicate 		2010-12-31
john gruber technology Apple will split its iPhone line into 2 models, distinguished by both size and capabilities
[link] - talon on 2009-05-01
duplicate 		2010-12-31
john gruber technology The iPhone will split into two products - one high-end with improvements on the current iPhone, and one cheaper, thinner, and not as powerful.
[link] - joshbrez on 2009-05-01
duplicate 		2010-12-31
jeffrey toobin politics Jeffrey Toobin, CNN senior legal analyst and author of The Nine: Inside the Secret World of the Supreme Court, predicts that Hillary Clinton will be elected President in November 2008, and she will appoint Barack Obama to the Supreme Court when she has the chance.
[link] - ma9913 on 2007-10-08
please resubmit with link to transcript 		2009-04-20
seth godin finance 90% of your sales will come from word of mouth or digital promotion by 2011.
[link] - on 2009-04-20
not testable 		2011-12-31
r longley politics There will be a violent revolution in the US. The violence has already started by drug gangs and other illegal aliens, but "We The People" will fight back with all necessary force after the democrats prove that the election process is now meaningless.
[link] - secede on 2009-04-13
not a public figure 		2010-11-13
randall munroe technology science will not discover immortality in the next 80 years.
[link] - STHayden on 2009-04-13
not a prediction 		2009-04-13
seth godin technology There will be no significant newspapers printed on newsprint in the US by 2012.
[link] - rricard on 2009-04-20
duplicate 		2012-01-01
john gruber technology "...if “Sandwich Dynamics” isn’t the best name of a new software company this year, I’ll eat my hat."
[link] - Martin on 2009-04-13
bloggers aren't public figures! 		2009-12-31
manuel schnecki Other It'll be sunny at FM4 Frequency festival. Of course, not to hot and not rainy. It'll be the perfect festival weather.
[link] - schnecki on 2009-04-16
not notable 		2009-08-22
paul krugman finance Austria is a possible candidate for a state default says Nobel laureate and NY-Times columnist Paul Krugman.
[link] - rupaw on 2009-04-16
Krugman said Austria was at most risk, but did not predict default. 		2009-12-16
douglas a. mcintyre finance The brands/companies: Avis-Budget, Borders, Crocs, Saturn, Esquire, Gap, Architectural Digest Magazine, Chrysler (brand), Eddie Bauer, PALM, AIG, and United Airlines, will all be gone (out of business) by the end of 2010
[link] - lango on 2009-04-15
duplicate (split into multiple posts) 		2010-12-31
gerald celente finance Gerald Celente Predicts Revolution, Food Riots, Tax Rebellions By 2012.
[link] - Bob Dobb on 2008-11-13
duplicate 		2012-11-13
bruce bueno de mesquita politics Iran will build weapons-grade uranium, but won't build a nuclear weapon
[link] - EmbraceUnity on 2009-02-07
duplicate 		2010-12-31
senator joe biden politics "Mark my words: it will not be six months before the world tests Barack Obama like they did John Kennedy. The world is looking. We're about to elect a brilliant 47-year-old senator president of the United States of America. Remember I said it standing here if you don't remember anything else I said. Watch, we're gonna have an international crisis, a generated crisis, to test the mettle of this guy."
[link] - ruzel on 2008-10-20
not testable. What fits the criterion of a generated international crisis? 		2009-04-05
nate silver politics In the special election between Tedisco (R) and Murphy (D) for Congress in New York's 20th Congressional Districts, the absentee ballots will split toward Murphy.
[link] - Robin Z on 2009-04-07
this is not a flat-out prediction - the gist of the article is that a certain analysis of current ballots favors Murphy, and it goes to some length to explain the assumptions and caveats around the conclusion 		2009-04-20
j. brad hicks politics By the end of next year, the United States will see severe violence, up to, including, and possibly exceeding armed insurrection.
[link] - Robin Z on 2009-04-04 		2010-12-31
steven hazel technology Prediction: Either Firefox adopts a process-per-tab model, or Chromium is the majority open source browser by 2014.
[link] - sah on 2009-02-20 		2014-01-01
abane mohamed ramdane politics A massive attack of israel against iran, after the first test of iranian's nuclear bomb!
[link] - mour on 2013-06-06
not notable 		2013-12-13
rickey yaneza Other Danny Gokey will win American Idol.
[link] - Rickey on 2009-04-05
who ever heard of rickey yaneza? 		2009-05-20
jim cramer finance On April 2, CNBC’s Jim Cramer proclaimed the Depression over.
[link] - stats on 2009-04-02
he said we're back in recession, without giving any meaningful criteria to distinguish the two 		2010-04-02
nancy pelosi politics Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) is predicting that controversial “card check” legislation will overcome GOP resistance and become law this year.
[link] - Bob Dobb on 2009-03-16
not a pundit 		2009-12-31
igor panarin politics Prof. Panarin, a former KGB analyst, dean of the Russian Foreign Ministry's academy for future diplomats. Predicts the US will fall apart in 2010. Economic and moral collapse triggers civil war and eventual break-up of the U.S.
[link] - Bob Dobb on 2008-12-29
duplicate 		2011-12-29
arnold albert gore Other Al Gore on Polar Ice.
[link] - Bob Dobb on 2008-01-24
duplicate 		2013-01-25
jim cramer finance On Thursday's episode of "Mad Money" host Jim Cramer declared that the depression is over. No stranger to making bold statements about the stock market and the economy, "Cramer delivered the news in his own inimitable style, unequivocally stating with gusto: "Right now, right here on this show -- I am pronouncing the Depression over."
[link] - Jon on 2009-04-04
not testable - see earlier duplicate rejected post 		2009-06-04
jen-hsun huang, ceo of nvidia technology “The era of a perfect Internet computer for $99 is coming this year,” said Jen-Hsun Huang, the chief executive of Nvidia, a maker of PC graphics chips that is trying to adapt to the new technological order.
[link] - PK on 2009-04-02
this is marketing, not prediction 		2009-12-31
matt philip Other End records of teams in the National League Central Division: Cubs: 93 Cardinals: 88 Reds: 78 Brewers: 78 Astros: 76 Pirates: 66
[link] - davebug on 2009-04-02
not ready for sports predictions yet! 		2009-10-04
jd/peakoil 'debunked' technology Food is grown vertically in strange towers in the middle of cities
[link] - ulowgly on 2005-09-08
not notable 		2014-12-31
elaine donnelly politics Elaine Donnelly and her laughably named Center for Military Readiness states the inclusion of gay sin the US military "would undermine recruiting and retention, impact leadership at all levels, have adverse effects on the willingness of parents who lend their sons and daughters to military service, and eventually break the All-Volunteer Force."
[link] - Justice Demon on 2009-03-31
insufficiently precise 		2009-04-02
paul wolfowitz politics There has been a good deal of comment—some of it quite outlandish—about what our postwar requirements might be in Iraq. Some of the higher end predictions we have been hearing recently, such as the notion that it will take several hundred thousand U.S. troops to provide stability in post-Saddam Iraq, are wildly off the mark. It is hard to conceive that it would take more forces to provide stability in post-Saddam Iraq than it would take to conduct the war itself and to secure the surrender of Saddam's security forces and his army—hard to imagine.
[link] - on 2004-02-23
not a pundit 		2009-04-02
diario di perestroika. italian blog finance "Default of the whole US Financial system, Government included"
[link] - Marbert on 2009-04-03
not notable 		2009-10-30
joshua porter technology As Porter himself says in the article, "I predict Facebook will soon go fully asymmetric, allowing all users of the system (not just celebrities or companies) to have “follower” relationships that don’t require reciprocation."
[link] - practicingK on 2009-03-29
not notable 		2009-04-02
jeff barea finance Predicted the stock market would fall to 6500 points.
[link] - WSE on 2009-04-02
not notable 		2009-04-02
casey ayers finance The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit its bottom for this recession on Monday, 9 March 2009. We will not hit that low point of 6547 again during this recessionary period.
[link] - casey on 2009-03-11
casey who? 		2009-04-03
jim cramer finance Jim Cramer claims that since the first weeks of March, due to the work of the Federal Reserve.
[link] - craig b on 2009-04-02
claims we're out of depression and back into recession. No definitions given 		2009-08-02
michael arrington technology "I’d expect Digg to add text advertising to the DiggBar over time, sooner rather than later. It should be a material revenue source for them."
[link] - on 2009-04-02
not an explicit prediction 		2009-04-03
trim shady Other The wolrd is coming to an End, things have started to ruin already, now you have worl crisis, by 2013 you will the beginning of the World End, when it is all over, no body knows that.
[link] - Dreamer on 2009-04-03
obvious to everyone 		2013-06-17
thorsten polliet finance A broad scale economic crisis as a result of credit expansion and inflation policy in the past would almost certainly lead to a new wave of government intervention
[link] - Ellen Brewer on 2006-04-25
insufficiently clear 		2009-04-03
bob hawke politics Prediction made 1987 and patently wrong by 1990
[link] - anothercynic on 2009-04-03
not really a prediction 		2009-04-03
nate silver politics Laws banning gay marriage, if put to a popular vote, will fail in half of US states by the end of 2013.
[link] - Belarius on 2009-04-03
duplicate 		2013-12-31
ross catanzariti technology The Palm Pre Will Be an iPhone Killer
[link] - joel on 2009-04-02
prediction is in headline, article itself makes no such claim 		2009-06-01
peter higgs technology Predicts the existence of the theoretical elementary particle known as the "Higgs Boson" will be discovered within one year.
[link] - Ben Babcock on 2008-04-07
saved by an "almost" 		2009-04-09
michael vick Other Out of prison, today the convicted felon says he can football for ten more years.
[link] - sportsfan on 2009-04-03
not a pundit 		2009-04-03
michael arrington technology Some Twitter insiders want the deal, but our sources say CEO Evan Williams wouldn’t sell even for $1 billion.
[link] - jasonwatkinspdx on 2009-04-03
this is attempted journalism, not prediction 		2009-04-03
michael arrington technology Google is in late stage negotiations to acquire Twitter.
[link] - jasonwatkinspdx on 2009-04-03
attempted journalism (rumors) 		2010-04-03
ray kurzweil technology Computational power sufficient to simulate the human brain will be available on a laptop for $1000 in the next 15 years.
[link] - c011 on 2007-09-07
out of scope (this site does five years max) 		2014-12-31
jim kunstler finance By May of 2009, the stock markets will resume crashing with the ultimate destination of a Dow 4000 before the end of the year.
[link] - SDC on 2008-12-29
duplicate 		2009-12-31
jim kunstler Other My prediction for 2009 is that we will see two things occur, possibly at the same time: a resumption of rising prices, and spot shortages. I say this because the global economic fiasco is sure to produce geopolitical friction, and inasmuch as America has to import almost three-quarters of the oil we use, the prospect for trouble is great.
[link] - SDC on 2008-12-29
not testable 		2009-12-31
michael arrington technology "Google is in late stage negotiations to acquire Twitter. We don’t know the price but can assume its well, well north of the $250 million valuation that they saw in their recent funding."
[link] - barredo on 2009-04-03
attempted journalism, not prediction 		2009-04-03
jeff barea politics Predicted that the Republican Party would get trounced in 2008 and should instead focus on 2010.
[link] - WSE on 2007-04-30
not notable 		2009-04-02
jeff barea finance Predicted the coming crash of the housing bubble and resulting financial calamity.
[link] - WSE on 2008-01-19
not notable 		2009-04-02
jeff barea politics Twin predictions that Barack Obama would be the Democratic nominee for President and the closing of BigHeadDC.com
[link] - WSE on 2008-02-23
not notable 		2009-04-02
jeff barea finance Predicted the consumer sales collapse and the effect it would have on other countries.
[link] - WSE on 2007-11-17
not notable 		2009-04-02
jeff barea finance Predicted the stock market would hit 6500.
[link] - WSE on 2009-02-15
not notable 		2009-04-02
nate silver politics Sarah Palin's September 3rd, 2008 speech at the St. Paul Republican National Convention will not help the McCain/Palin campaign "beyond the very near term (the next 3-7 days)".
[link] - Robin Zimmermann on 2008-09-04
not testable (how do you determine the long-term effect of a speech?) 		2008-11-04
dr. dana anderson finance The USA will see gas and food prices soar 100% from current levels (4/1/2009) to $100 oil and $8 corn etc. by the end of 2010. The stock market saw a short term bottom in stock prices in feruary 2009 and will not see new lows as it appears the economy is recovering. However, after massive inflation slows the economy the bond market will crash in 2010 as long term interest rates soar driving price to earnings on the dow to the lowest level since the grate depression. Both stocks and bonds will crash in 2010 as food and energy prices soar. (disclosure long oil food, gold) will short bonds and stocks later in 2009.
[link] - Dr. Dana Anderson on 2009-04-03
who the hell is dana anderson? 		2009-12-12
guy mcpherson finance Capitulation of the Dow Jones Industrial Average
[link] - JD on 2009-02-17
to whom? the germans? not specific enough to test 		2010-01-01
saint hexodus finance recession officially over next quarter, GDP goes positive in Q2 of 2009.
[link] - lilweezy on 2009-04-02
not notable 		2009-07-02
dr. floyd freud finance You should not be able to enter predictions that have already "closed". There is the ability to bias someone's record by only inputting wrong predictions.
[link] - on 2009-04-02
see blog 		2010-04-02
dick schapp Other One year from now this site will still suck.
[link] - Dick on 2009-04-02
too easy 		2010-04-02
stuart osnow technology The Apple iphone will have the full capability of the iMac.
[link] - Oz on 2009-04-02
who the hell is stewart osnow? 		2010-12-31
david pinto Other Baseball Musings predicts the NL West standings. Dodgers win the division.
[link] - StatsGuru on 2009-04-01
still working on sports subdomain - not quite ready yet! 		2009-10-05
david pinto Other 2009 AL East standings. The Yankees win the division.
[link] - StatsGuru on 2009-03-31
still working on sports subdomain - not quite ready yet! 		2009-10-05
david pinto Other NL Central standings. The Cubs win the division.
[link] - StatsGuru on 2009-03-30
still working on sports subdomain - not quite ready yet! 		2009-10-05
david pinto Other AL West standings. The Angels win the division.
[link] - StatsGuru on 2009-03-29 		2009-10-05
oscar carboni finance Commodities will rally in 2009.
[link] - on 2009-01-31
random dude yelling into youtube 		2010-01-01
oscar carboni finance Indices will go make new lows.
[link] - on 2009-02-14
random dude yelling into youtube 		2009-04-02
@securityq team technology Conficker worm, variant C will increase, then decrease infection results by 7 Apr. Largest target areas in Asia and Malaysia.
[link] - @SecurityQ on 2009-04-01
never heard of you, team 		2009-04-07
john gruber technology John predicts Wrong Tomorrow is going to be one of his very favorite web sites.
[link] - Bradly on 2009-04-01 		2009-04-01
luther blissett technology I predict that wrongtomorrow.com will have an RSS feed, automatic "screenshotting" of predictions (in case pundits alter their original prediction) and links to cached copies of predictions (just in case). Yeah.
[link] - Me on 2009-04-01
too spookily accurate 		2009-04-01
john gruber technology I predict Wrong Tomorrow is going to be one of my very favorite web sites.
[link] - Ahoten on 2009-04-01
john who? 		2010-04-01
john gruber Other I predict Wrong Tomorrow is going to be one of my very favorite web sites.
[link] - arekd on 2009-04-01 		2010-04-01
al gore politics Gore asserted that, “the North Pole ice caps may disappear entirely during summer months within five years…"
[link] - Blake on 2008-01-24 		2013-01-24
john gruber technology "I predict Wrong Tomorrow is going to be one of my very favorite web sites."
[link] - Benjamin on 2009-04-01 		2009-04-01
uncle foobar technology Followers of Uncle Foobar will declare that his remains will become Emperor of the Universe (remains).
[link] - Uncle Foobar on 2009-04-01 		2014-04-01
markoff chaney Other This prediction will be "WRONG" on http://wrongtomorrow.com
[link] - Leviathan on 2009-04-01
instead it is REJECTED 		2009-04-01
tim joyce Other op gear will no longer be cool by the end of 2009. Test: Vote Yes/No around the office Christmas tree at secret santa.
[link] - Jnye on 2009-01-01
I understood none of that 		2009-12-20
robert scoble technology "Web 2.0 hasn’t reached BestBuy’s headquarters yet." Best Buy Community launched last year at http://forums.bestbuy.com following many other Web 2.0 initiatives. R.I.P. Scoble's Google skills
[link] - Annie Body on 2009-03-31
not a prediction 		2008-10-01
john gruber technology "There’s not much I’d say I’m certain about regarding future Apple products, but I’m absolutely certain that eventually there will be an iPhone with a combination of CPU, RAM, and battery life that Apple deems suitable for third-party app background tasking. All they’ll have to do is turn it on." he's a public figure, right?? been around long enough, and he's read enough - besides, he promoted this site... cheers.
[link] - svb on 2009-04-01
too fuzzy a prediction to be testable (but thanks for the promotion!) 		2009-04-01
david brin Other The world needs a predictions registry; a site or organization that can impose some sort of accountability on people who claim to be able to predict what will happen next in the fields of technology, finance, politics and so forth. Note that this claim was made earlier, in his 1990 novel Earth.
[link] - Chief Technovelgist on 2005-07-01
this is not a prediction 		2009-04-01
al gore politics North polar ice caps will completely melt away within five years
[link] - mh on 2008-12-13
duplicate 		2013-12-13
igor panarin politics The US will break up into several regional areas , each under foreign control.
[link] - on 2009-03-03
duplicate 		2010-08-01