| author |
prediction |
testable |
status |
updated |
ouriel ohayon
|
10 startups i think will be acquired soon: evernote, posterous/tumblr, twitter, animoto, tweetdeck/seesmic, stardoll, etsy, apture. agree?
11.8.2009
|
10 days
|
open |
9.9.2009 |
charles stross
|
One moment, self-driving cars are science fiction, the next self-driving stuff is going to show up very rapidly once it falls below a certain price point. Initially in luxury cars, but within five years in cheap ones.
6.8.2009
|
52 months
|
open |
12.8.2009 |
jason fried
|
"I predict Microsoft buys Palm within the next 18 months."
31.7.2009
|
6 months
|
open |
2.8.2009 |
michael scalisi
|
I’m no Apple hater, and I welcome an Apple device to the (don’t call it a) netbook market, but I've got to think this device would be a flop. This concept is such a train wreck from start to finish that I don’t know where to begin.
27.7.2009
|
5 months
|
open |
2.8.2009 |
jason kottke
|
"I predict Google will be the biggest and most important company in the world in 5-8 years."
4.4.2004
|
21 months
|
open |
25.7.2009 |
beth lynn eicher
|
"Microsoft will no longer have the majority market share in 24 months"
7.7.2009
|
11 months
|
open |
8.7.2009 |
john gruber
|
iPhones will become more important than Macs on the WWDC:
“But look at their vectors — their relative rates of growth — and ponder how much longer until WWDC begins to feel like an iPhone developer conference with a Mac developer track. My answer: next year. ”
17.6.2009
|
-1 months
|
open |
19.6.2009 |
bruce schneier
|
We should expect to see an actual SHA-1 collision within the year.
16.6.2009
|
-7 months
|
open |
19.6.2009 |
sam kennedy
|
Microsoft will release a new Xbox console next fall.
12.6.2009
|
4 months
|
open |
19.6.2009 |
governor arnold schwarzenegger
|
"I think that the Chinese will, within a short period of time, I can guarantee you, make this [Hummer] car that now gets only 15 miles per gallon ... go 30 miles, 40 miles per gallon,... And it could very well be, knowing the Chinese, that it will go 100 miles (per gallon) very soon."
3.6.2009
|
50 months
|
open |
6.6.2009 |
cory doctorow
|
Regarding access to the Internet: "Here's a prediction: in five years, a UN convention will enshrine network access as a human right."
30.5.2009
|
50 months
|
open |
1.6.2009 |
peter diamandis
|
We will find life on Mars within 'the next decade', and discover a 'ubiquitous' bacterial ecosystem.
29.5.2006
|
49 months
|
open |
6.6.2009 |
ted ritter
|
The Internet will become overloaded, causing brownouts and then outright gridlock. From 2012, PCs and laptops are likely to operate at a much reduced speed, rendering the internet an “unreliable toy”
26.4.2009
|
31 months
|
open |
8.5.2009 |
john gruber
|
At some point the iPhone will expand to two form factors:
1. A high-end iPhone with the same basic size and price as previous iPhones, but with significant new features.
2. A new, lower-priced, smaller, and more adorable iPhone, with more or less the same technical specs as the original iPhone.
1.5.2009
|
5 months
|
open |
8.5.2009 |
seth godin
|
There will be no significant newspapers printed on newsprint in the US by 2012. (By significant, he seems to mean major market with a traditionally wide circulation.)
20.4.2009
|
18 months
|
open |
20.4.2009 |
ray kurzweil
|
If you look at 2009-2010 cell phone technology, I believe you will be seeing speech-to-speech translation in there.
13.11.2007
|
5 months
|
open |
4.4.2009 |
ray kurzweil
|
Automatic house cleaning robots will have become common.
4.4.2005
|
57 months
|
open |
4.4.2009 |
daniel engber
|
3-D is just a fad: "It's happened before and it will happen again: At some point soon, 3-D cinema will regain its well-earned status as a sublime and ridiculous headache."
2.4.2009
|
8 months
|
open |
4.4.2009 |
robbie bach
|
By 2012 a third of netbook PCs will be sold by mobile operators.
2.4.2009
|
21 months
|
open |
4.4.2009 |
jakob nielsen
|
"Dell's cheapest computer costs $379 (with a monitor) ... in another five years, computers will be one-fourth their current price."
20.11.2006
|
17 months
|
open |
2.4.2009 |
