| author |
prediction |
testable |
status |
updated |
christine dugas
|
The unemployment rate could hit 10% this year.
3.6.2009
|
-7 months
|
open |
8.7.2009 |
jim sinclair
|
"130 Day Warning
Yes, that is right. You have a little more than 130 DAYS before MOPE (management of perspective economics) falls into the abyss of loss of confidence in the US dollar.
The event will be the birth of hyperinflation in the US and elsewhere to the horror of the spin media."
Note) Jim Sinclair is definitely a pundit. He's on TV:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pyB_NmlNFqU
1.7.2009
|
-9 months
|
open |
25.7.2009 |
dick vitale
|
Dick Vitale claimed that Stephen Curry would be rookie of the year in the NBA
26.6.2009
|
-1 months
|
open |
8.7.2009 |
john gruber
|
iPhones will become more important than Macs on the WWDC:
“But look at their vectors — their relative rates of growth — and ponder how much longer until WWDC begins to feel like an iPhone developer conference with a Mac developer track. My answer: next year. ”
17.6.2009
|
-1 months
|
open |
19.6.2009 |
bruce schneier
|
We should expect to see an actual SHA-1 collision within the year.
16.6.2009
|
-7 months
|
open |
19.6.2009 |
robert prechter
|
Technical analyst Robert Prechter on Monday said he sees the United States losing its top AAA credit rating by the end of 2010, as he stuck by a deeply bearish outlook on the U.S. economy and stock market.
15.6.2009
|
5 months
|
open |
19.6.2009 |
sam kennedy
|
Microsoft will release a new Xbox console next fall.
12.6.2009
|
4 months
|
open |
19.6.2009 |
governor arnold schwarzenegger
|
"I think that the Chinese will, within a short period of time, I can guarantee you, make this [Hummer] car that now gets only 15 miles per gallon ... go 30 miles, 40 miles per gallon,... And it could very well be, knowing the Chinese, that it will go 100 miles (per gallon) very soon."
3.6.2009
|
50 months
|
open |
6.6.2009 |
cory doctorow
|
Regarding access to the Internet: "Here's a prediction: in five years, a UN convention will enshrine network access as a human right."
30.5.2009
|
50 months
|
open |
1.6.2009 |
peter diamandis
|
We will find life on Mars within 'the next decade', and discover a 'ubiquitous' bacterial ecosystem.
29.5.2006
|
49 months
|
open |
6.6.2009 |
scott moritz
|
"the Apple tablet will be a flop next year"
24.5.2009
|
5 months
|
open |
1.6.2009 |
jean-claude trichet
|
The global downturn has bottomed (May, 2009).
15.5.2009
|
-7 months
|
open |
1.6.2009 |
david fyfe
|
"World oil demand this year will post the sharpest annual decline since 1981 ... Demand will contract by 2.56 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2009, the agency, which advises 28 industrialized countries, said in a monthly report."
14.5.2009
|
-7 months
|
open |
1.6.2009 |
james howard kunstler
|
"The airline industry, of course, will be toast inside of five years."
4.5.2009
|
49 months
|
open |
14.5.2009 |
dr sergi tudela
|
The Mediterranean bluefin breeding population will disappear by 2012 under the current fishing regime.
10.4.2009
|
18 months
|
open |
6.6.2009 |
bill evans
|
The Australian economy will begin to recover by the end of this year
8.5.2009
|
-7 months
|
open |
6.8.2009 |
nate silver
|
at least one serious contender for the Republican nomination in 2012 will be someone newly elected to his or her state's governorship in 2010.
(Nate isn't clear what is meant by "serious contender", but "still in the race at the end of February" seems reasonable)
7.5.2009
|
20 months
|
open |
8.5.2009 |
james kunstler
|
"The airline industry, of course, will be toast inside of five years."
4.5.2009
|
49 months
|
open |
8.5.2009 |
ted ritter
|
The Internet will become overloaded, causing brownouts and then outright gridlock. From 2012, PCs and laptops are likely to operate at a much reduced speed, rendering the internet an “unreliable toy”
26.4.2009
|
31 months
|
open |
8.5.2009 |
john gruber
|
At some point the iPhone will expand to two form factors:
1. A high-end iPhone with the same basic size and price as previous iPhones, but with significant new features.
2. A new, lower-priced, smaller, and more adorable iPhone, with more or less the same technical specs as the original iPhone.
1.5.2009
|
5 months
|
open |
8.5.2009 |
