author jeremy grantham
prediction So by analogy to the normal Presidential Cycle effect, driven by stimulus and moral hazard, we are likely to have a remarkable stock rally, far in excess of anything justified by either long-term or short-term economic fundamentals. My guess is that the S&P 500 is quite likely to run for a while, way beyond fair value (880 on our revised data), to the 1000-1100 level or so before the end of the year.
status open
URL http://www.gmo.com/websitecontent/JGLetter_1Q09.pdf
category finance
made 7.3.2009
expires -7 months
posted By Sirmont
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