| author | nate silver |
| prediction | The model predicts that by 2012, almost half of the 50 states would vote against a marriage ban, including several states that had previously voted to ban it. |
| status | open |
| URL | http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/04/will-iowans-uphold-gay-marriage.html |
| category | politics |
| made | 4.4.2009 |
| expires | 31 months |
| posted By | Michal Migurski |