| author | nate silver |
| prediction | The population of Iowa will first vote on a constitutional amendment to ban gay marriage in 2012; when they do, the vote will be a tossup. |
| status | open |
| URL | http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/04/will-iowans-uphold-gay-marriage.html |
| category | politics |
| made | 4.4.2009 |
| expires | 29 months |
| posted By | Robin Z |