writer, author of the Long Emergency and the Geography of Nowhere.
2 wrong, 0 right, 3 open
| prediction | category | testable | status | submitted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
"I'm inclined to predict a gruesome journey down for the Dow Jones into the 4000 range by the end of the year."
27.6.2005 | finance | -59 months | wrong | 3.4.2009 |
|
"I'd called for a Dow-4000 late in 2005. I think that was just an error in timing, and still call for the Dow to sink into that range, or worse, in 2006."
2.1.2006 | finance | -46 months | wrong | 3.4.2009 |
|
Wholesale liquidations of everything under the North American sun: companies, households, chattels, US Treasury paper of all kinds, and, of course, the S & P 500.
6.4.2009 | finance | -10 months | open | 9.4.2009 |
|
"Dow 4000 before the end of the year"
1.1.2009 | finance | -7 months | open | 2.4.2009 |
|
"The airline industry, of course, will be toast inside of five years."
4.5.2009 | finance | 49 months | open | 14.5.2009 |